Some people love saying Mastodon/OStatus is very scalable because of federation but let's be honest that's some bullshit. It's easy to split and multiply, but that's not scaling.
The birdsite is much easier to scale.
Just imagine one edge case we're not seeing for now: many people using it (let's say millions) and following a very famous person
That person must have their own instance at this point, at least.
... what happens when they toot?
just imagine the enormous peaks and lag it'll do. And we're not even talking about media.
How would Mastodon realistically handle Katy Perry? I have no idea.
@CobaltVelvet Receiving replies/boosts/favs on the celebrity instance will be a harder problem. They could probably only be operated by a few big entities.
I'd definitely agree that centralized solutions have an easier time here, though even Twitter had to spend a lot of time on that architecture. Still, it's not an impossible thing.